Guinea-Bissau vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NAM
0 - 0
GNB
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GNB
2 - 1
ZMB
6%
12%
83%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZMB
2 - 1
GNB
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GNB
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -7 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GIN
7 - 0
GNB
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ZMB
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GNB
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |