WC Qual. Africa Grupo D round 3

Ghana vs Sudan analysis

Ghana Sudan
84 ELO 65
-7.2% Tilt -11%
675º General ELO ranking 2243º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
76.1%
Ghana
16.8%
Draw
7.1%
Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
Ghana
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.1%
Win probability
South Sudan
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ghana
-11%
+26%
Sudan

ELO progression

Ghana
South Sudan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2013
MLI
Mali
3 - 1
Ghana
GHA
28%
26%
46%
84 77 7 0
06 Feb. 2013
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
20%
24%
56%
85 69 16 -1
02 Feb. 2013
GHA
Ghana
2 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
69%
19%
11%
84 70 14 +1
28 Jan. 2013
NIG
Niger
0 - 3
Ghana
GHA
12%
21%
67%
84 61 23 0
24 Jan. 2013
GHA
Ghana
1 - 0
Mali
MLI
57%
23%
20%
84 78 6 0

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2012
ETH
Ethiopia
2 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
43%
27%
30%
67 63 4 0
08 Sep. 2012
SDN
South Sudan
5 - 3
Ethiopia
ETH
53%
23%
23%
66 64 2 +1
10 Jun. 2012
LSO
Lesotho
0 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
20%
27%
53%
67 50 17 -1
02 Jun. 2012
SDN
South Sudan
0 - 3
Zambia
ZAM
32%
25%
43%
68 78 10 -1
04 Feb. 2012
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
60%
23%
17%
70 78 8 -2