Georgia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
83.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
14.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 0
BLR
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
GEO
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 3
TUR
18%
27%
56%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GEO
2 - 1
ALB
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GEO
2 - 0
MDA
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
SAU
86%
11%
3%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 2
ESP
2%
9%
89%
|
99 | 46 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PRT
0 - 0
ESP
15%
18%
67%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |