Wales vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
BGR
1 - 0
WLS
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
WLS
5 - 0
ROU
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 0
WLS
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
WLS
1 - 1
BRA
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
NIR
0 - 1
WLS
47%
29%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
YUG
0 - 0
FRA
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1983 |
CHE
2 - 0
YUG
27%
27%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
YUG
2 - 1
NOR
86%
10%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
YUG
2 - 4
BRD
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
YUG
1 - 0
ROU
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |