Wales vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 1
WLS
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
WLS
0 - 0
IRL
25%
27%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
WLS
1 - 2
HRV
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
SCT
1 - 2
WLS
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
WLS
2 - 1
AUT
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 1
HRV
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
SRB
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
SRB
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SRB
2 - 0
SCT
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HRV
2 - 0
SRB
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |