Wales vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
WLS
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
3 - 2
WLS
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 1
BEL
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 2
NLD
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 0
UKR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
NLD
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
17%
22%
62%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
2 - 2
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BEL
6 - 1
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
WLS
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |