Wales vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
WLS
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CZE
2 - 2
WLS
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
WLS
0 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
2 - 3
WLS
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
0 - 0
WLS
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BLR
0 - 2
CZE
15%
22%
62%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
BLR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
0 - 1
BEL
2%
10%
88%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
2 - 3
WLS
24%
29%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 0
BLR
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |