France vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1996 |
CZE
0 - 0
FRA
28%
27%
45%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1996 |
FRA
0 - 0
NLD
55%
23%
22%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1996 |
FRA
3 - 1
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1996 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
BEL
2 - 1
TUR
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
82%
12%
7%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 3
DNK
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1996 |
PRT
1 - 0
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 1
HRV
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |