France vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FRA
1 - 3
ITA
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1953 |
FRA
8 - 0
LUX
76%
13%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
1 - 0
IRL
64%
17%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
5 - 0
MEX
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 3
PER
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
4 - 2
PAN
67%
16%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
44%
21%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
CHL
4 - 0
MEX
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |