France vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 4
POL
45%
26%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1982 |
POL
3 - 2
FRA
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1982 |
BRD
3 - 3
FRA
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
FRA
4 - 1
NIR
75%
15%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1982 |
AUT
0 - 1
FRA
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
HUN
5 - 0
TUR
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 1
HUN
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
4 - 1
HUN
63%
19%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
HUN
10 - 1
SLV
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
HUN
1 - 2
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |