France vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 0
DEN
60%
23%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
SWE
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
ALB
82%
14%
4%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 3
FRA
9%
20%
71%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
ISR
0 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 0
CYP
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
WAL
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
ISL
77%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
BIH
1 - 1
BEL
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |