France vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
DNK
0 - 0
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
AUS
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
USA
70%
19%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
HRV
59%
22%
20%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 1
ISL
78%
14%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 0
HTI
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 1
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |