Finland vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LVA
0 - 2
FIN
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
SWE
5 - 0
FIN
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
FIN
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
PRT
2 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
FIN
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
CYP
3 - 2
MDA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
CYP
3 - 2
MDA
17%
24%
60%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
MDA
1 - 4
SWE
16%
26%
59%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
MDA
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AND
1 - 2
MDA
18%
22%
61%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | +1 |