Finland vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FIN
1 - 0
HUN
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
BLR
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
ROU
2 - 0
FIN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
FIN
5 - 0
MLT
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FIN
0 - 0
MKD
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EST
0 - 1
GRC
29%
31%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
MAR
25%
29%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
LTU
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
2 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |