Estonia vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
BLR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
WLS
0 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
NIR
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
EST
2 - 5
BEL
1%
11%
88%
|
65 | 94 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
LVA
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CZE
2 - 2
WLS
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
WLS
0 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
2 - 3
WLS
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
0 - 0
WLS
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
WLS
0 - 4
DNK
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |