UEFA Nations League Liga D - Playoffs Descenso. Final

Global 0-2

Estonia vs Cyprus analysis

Estonia Cyprus
65 ELO 57
-4.4% Tilt -13.6%
1995º General ELO ranking 2607º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Estonia
23%
Draw
20.8%
Cyprus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Estonia
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
Cyprus
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estonia
-20%
-5%
Cyprus

ELO progression

Estonia
Cyprus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estonia
Estonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2021
CZE
Czech Republic
2 - 0
Estonia
EST
81%
13%
6%
65 87 22 0
13 Nov. 2021
BEL
Belgium
3 - 1
Estonia
EST
93%
6%
1%
66 94 28 -1
11 Oct. 2021
EST
Estonia
0 - 1
Wales
WLS
17%
27%
56%
66 85 19 0
08 Oct. 2021
EST
Estonia
2 - 0
Belarus
BLR
34%
26%
40%
65 72 7 +1
08 Sep. 2021
WLS
Wales
0 - 0
Estonia
EST
70%
20%
10%
64 85 21 +1

Matches

Cyprus
Cyprus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2021
SVN
Slovenia
2 - 1
Cyprus
CYP
74%
18%
9%
58 79 21 0
11 Nov. 2021
RUS
Russia
6 - 0
Cyprus
CYP
80%
14%
6%
58 87 29 0
11 Oct. 2021
CYP
Cyprus
2 - 2
Malta
MLT
71%
18%
12%
58 47 11 0
08 Oct. 2021
CYP
Cyprus
0 - 3
Croatia
HRV
7%
18%
75%
59 89 30 -1
07 Sep. 2021
SVK
Slovakia
2 - 0
Cyprus
CYP
79%
15%
6%
59 84 25 0
X