United States vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
SAU
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 0
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
USA
5 - 0
GRD
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
URY
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
WLS
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
3 - 2
WLS
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 1
BEL
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 2
NLD
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |