United States vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 0
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
USA
5 - 0
GRD
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
URY
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 0
ECU
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
VEN
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
COL
15%
26%
59%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAU
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PSE
1 - 1
SAU
15%
21%
65%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |