United States vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
USA
3 - 2
MEX
43%
25%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
HND
0 - 1
USA
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 2
USA
10%
21%
70%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
USA
4 - 1
JAM
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
HND
2 - 2
CRI
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
CRI
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
MEX
13%
22%
66%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BIH
0 - 0
CRI
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 1
QAT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |