United States vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
ENG
3 - 0
USA
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
USA
1 - 1
PER
53%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
USA
2 - 4
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 3
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHL
2 - 3
CRI
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
COL
3 - 1
CRI
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
MEX
3 - 2
CRI
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
JPN
3 - 0
CRI
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |