United States vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
USA
6%
18%
76%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
QAT
0 - 1
USA
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
HND
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 2
CAN
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
HTI
1 - 4
CAN
23%
24%
54%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |