Spain vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
6 - 0
DEU
49%
22%
30%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
NLD
1 - 1
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 0
ESP
12%
20%
69%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
GRC
0 - 0
SVN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MDA
0 - 2
GRC
13%
24%
64%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GRC
2 - 1
CYP
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
GRC
0 - 0
XXK
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GRC
2 - 0
MDA
81%
15%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |