Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
29%
24%
48%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
XXK
0 - 2
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
91%
7%
2%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 1
ESP
13%
20%
67%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
50%
23%
27%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 0
FIN
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
FRA
12%
23%
65%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
BIH
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 3
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |