Spain vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
NLD
1 - 1
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 0
ESP
12%
20%
69%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PRT
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 1
UKR
81%
12%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 0
CZE
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 3
CHE
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 2
DEU
15%
20%
65%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 3
TUR
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |