EC Qualifying . Final
Global 1-3
Slovenia vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
UKR
2 - 0
SVN
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 2
SVN
12%
21%
66%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 1
LTU
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 0
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 2
SVN
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
UKR
2 - 0
SVN
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
UKR
0 - 1
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 2
UKR
21%
27%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SVK
0 - 0
UKR
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UKR
3 - 1
BLR
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |