Slovenia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
SVN
3 - 2
UKR
51%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ITA
1 - 0
SVN
92%
7%
1%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
EST
1 - 3
SVN
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
SVN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
HRV
2 - 0
SVN
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
HRV
1 - 1
ITA
15%
26%
60%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
HRV
7 - 1
EST
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
UKR
1 - 0
HRV
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
HRV
2 - 0
SVN
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 0
HRV
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |