Scotland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SCT
3 - 0
UKR
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ARM
1 - 4
SCT
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 0
SCT
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
SCT
2 - 0
ARM
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 3
UKR
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
1 - 1
IRL
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 0
SCT
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
0 - 1
UKR
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ARM
1 - 0
IRL
19%
27%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
IRL
1 - 0
LTU
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |