UAE vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
ARE
1 - 3
BHR
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ARE
3 - 2
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
ARE
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
QAT
4 - 2
ARE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ARE
0 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
UZB
1 - 2
IRQ
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
IRQ
2 - 2
BHR
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
YEM
0 - 0
IRQ
9%
19%
73%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ARE
0 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |