UAE vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 0
CZE
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ARE
3 - 1
JOR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 1
PSE
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 0
ARE
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 2
KOR
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IRQ
1 - 0
AZE
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
IRQ
4 - 0
PSE
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
IRQ
3 - 0
PSE
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
IRQ
0 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
82 | 100 | 18 | 0 |