Egypt vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ETH
0 - 2
EGY
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
EGY
1 - 3
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
RSA
1 - 1
EGY
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 1
BOT
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 1
EGY
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
SLE
3 - 1
GNB
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 2
ZAM
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SLE
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 1
SLE
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 2
LBR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |