Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
EGY
8%
19%
73%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
EGY
4 - 1
SWZ
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EGY
6 - 0
NER
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
SAU
2 - 1
EGY
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
3 - 1
EGY
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NER
1 - 2
TUN
14%
22%
65%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
NER
79%
16%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
71%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
PAN
1 - 2
TUN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
5 - 2
TUN
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |