Ecuador vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
NLD
1 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
0 - 2
ECU
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ECU
0 - 0
IRQ
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
ECU
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 0
ECU
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 3
SEN
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 2
NLD
8%
16%
76%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 2
SEN
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GIN
1 - 0
SEN
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |