Ecuador vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ECU
6 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
ECU
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ECU
4 - 2
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PER
2 - 4
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PRY
2 - 2
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |