Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 2
ECU
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
PER
3 - 3
PRY
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 2
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
PRY
3 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |