Ecuador vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ECU
3 - 0
TTO
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
ECU
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
1 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DZA
3 - 0
COL
20%
26%
54%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |