WC Qual. S.America . Jor. 14

Ecuador vs Colombia analysis

Ecuador Colombia
88 ELO 91
6.7% Tilt -1.3%
77º General ELO ranking 31º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.7%
Ecuador
26.9%
Draw
28.4%
Colombia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Ecuador
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.4%
Win probability
Colombia
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador
+5%
+10%
Colombia

ELO progression

Ecuador
Colombia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2017
PRY
Paraguay
2 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
34%
26%
40%
89 85 4 0
23 Feb. 2017
ECU
Ecuador
3 - 1
Honduras
HND
72%
17%
10%
89 81 8 0
15 Nov. 2016
ECU
Ecuador
3 - 0
Venezuela
VEN
69%
19%
13%
88 82 6 +1
11 Nov. 2016
URY
Uruguay
2 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
61%
21%
18%
88 91 3 0
11 Oct. 2016
BOL
Bolivia
2 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
24%
25%
51%
89 78 11 -1

Matches

Colombia
Colombia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2017
COL
Colombia
1 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
78%
15%
7%
91 78 13 0
26 Jan. 2017
BRA
Brazil
1 - 0
Colombia
COL
76%
16%
8%
91 97 6 0
16 Nov. 2016
ARG
Argentina
3 - 0
Colombia
COL
67%
20%
13%
91 94 3 0
10 Nov. 2016
COL
Colombia
0 - 0
Chile
CHL
48%
25%
27%
91 91 0 0
11 Oct. 2016
COL
Colombia
2 - 2
Uruguay
URY
49%
25%
26%
92 91 1 -1
X