WC Play Offs . Final
Global 4-1
Croatia vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
UKR
0 - 2
HRV
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
HRV
1 - 1
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 0
HRV
35%
26%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HRV
1 - 0
XXK
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ISL
1 - 0
HRV
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
GRC
4 - 0
GIB
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CYP
1 - 2
GRC
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GRC
1 - 2
BEL
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
GRC
0 - 0
EST
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
BIH
0 - 0
GRC
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |