Croatia vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HRV
3 - 1
SVK
65%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WLS
1 - 1
HRV
20%
25%
54%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
HRV
3 - 0
HUN
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
AZE
1 - 1
HRV
8%
21%
71%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SVK
0 - 4
HRV
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
GEO
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GIB
2 - 3
GEO
6%
11%
84%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GEO
0 - 0
IRL
21%
28%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GEO
0 - 0
DNK
15%
24%
61%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 2
GEO
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |