Croatia vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HRV
4 - 1
CAN
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
HRV
35%
25%
41%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
HRV
15%
22%
64%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
1 - 3
HRV
24%
23%
53%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
HRV
2 - 1
DNK
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAN
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
EGY
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NLD
1 - 0
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
WLS
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |