Croatia vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
HRV
0 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
HRV
2 - 2
MKD
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ROU
0 - 1
HRV
55%
25%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 0
HRV
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
HRV
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
DZA
1 - 3
BEL
20%
24%
57%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
16%
22%
62%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AND
0 - 1
BEL
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
POL
1 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |