Croatia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
3 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
1 - 0
CYP
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 0
HRV
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 3
PRT
31%
24%
45%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SWE
2 - 1
HRV
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ARM
3 - 2
ROU
20%
24%
57%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 0
ISL
33%
24%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
LIE
0 - 1
ARM
5%
13%
82%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ARM
1 - 0
MKD
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
1 - 2
ARM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |