Ivory Coast vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 2
CIV
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ZAF
1 - 1
CIV
34%
28%
39%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 1
BDI
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 5
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
0 - 2
SDN
22%
27%
50%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 1
SDN
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
SDN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |