Ivory Coast vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
MWI
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MWI
0 - 3
CIV
12%
22%
66%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
CMR
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 0
CIV
13%
24%
62%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GHA
0 - 0
CIV
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 1
CMR
14%
25%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CMR
3 - 1
MOZ
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 0
MOZ
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 0
CIV
13%
24%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SWZ
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |