Ivory Coast vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Côte d'Ivoire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 0
CIV
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 0
CIV
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GHA
4 - 2
CIV
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
CIV
1 - 4
EGY
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CIV
5 - 0
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
MOZ
2 - 3
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TAN
0 - 1
MOZ
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ZIM
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |