Ivory Coast vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NER
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
60%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
MDG
1 - 1
CIV
17%
24%
60%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CIV
2 - 1
MDG
77%
17%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
JPN
1 - 0
CIV
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
CIV
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MDG
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ETH
3 - 0
NER
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
NER
1 - 0
ETH
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
ETH
2 - 3
ZMB
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |