Comoros vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
77.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ZMB
2 - 1
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SYC
0 - 3
COM
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
CIV
8%
18%
75%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
ZMB
10%
21%
70%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
ZAF
1 - 2
ZMB
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SYC
2 - 4
ZMB
4%
15%
82%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ZMB
2 - 1
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZMB
0 - 1
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |