Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
PRY
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
60%
23%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PER
3 - 0
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 2
PER
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |