Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
41%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ECU
6 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |