Colombia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
COL
9%
21%
71%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 2
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 3
BRA
5%
14%
81%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
83%
12%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |