Chile vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 2
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GIN
2 - 3
CHL
16%
24%
60%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
HND
2 - 1
CHL
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PER
2 - 4
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PRY
2 - 2
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
URY
1 - 0
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |